2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

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Who will win?

Raiders +13
1
10%
Raiders 1-12
3
30%
Draw
0
No votes
Warriors 1-12
6
60%
Warriors 13+
0
No votes
 
Total votes: 10

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greeneyed
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2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by greeneyed » August 28, 2018, 4:31 pm

2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

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Canberra Raiders V New Zealand Warriors
Friday 31 August 6:00pm AEST 8:00pm NZT
Mt Smart Stadium
Tickets: Click here
TV coverage: Fox League Channel 502
Radio: ABC, 2CC, Mix 106.3
Weather: Showers. Chance early fog, then a few showers, clearing at night. Light winds. Min 7 Max 17

Round 24 2018. Canberra Raiders 24 - South Sydney Rabbitohs 12. The Raiders defeated a minor premiership contender for the second week in a row - and in fine fashion. Canberra was missing Jarrod Croker, Aidan Sezer and Jack Wighton... but Canberra finally seems to have found a winning forumula. It was determined, courageous football from the Green Machine, in the final home game for Blake Austin, Shannon Boyd and Junior Paulo. The Rabbitohs started the match on fire, but Canberra controlled possession and gradually got themselves back into the contest. And in the second half, the Green Machine dominated, running in three tries.


2018 Round 24 Canberra Raiders V South Sydney Rabbitohs

More on Round 24: As I saw it

The Raiders travel to Auckland for a meeting with the New Zealand Warriors for their final match of the season. The Canberra Raiders are unchanged from the team that defeated the Rabbitohs. It will be the last game in green for Blake Austin, Junior Paulo and Shannon Boyd. For the Warriors, Gerard Beale (hamstring) replaces Leivaha Pulu on the bench, with five-eighth Blake Green still out with a calf injury.

Late changes: The Canberra Raiders omitted Aidan Sezer and Makahesi Makatoa from their squad on Friday night. Jack Murchie and Liam Knight remain on the extended bench. For the Warriors, Bunty Afoa moves to starting prop in place of James Gavet, who drops out. Karl Lawton drops off the Warriors extended bench.

History: Canberra has won 21 of 39 games against the Warriors. The recent record is fairly good, with the Raiders winning four of the past five matches. But before that, Canberra lost five matches in a row - and the Warriors scored 50 or more points in three of those contests. In 2017, the Raiders won 20-8 at Canberra - and backed that up in the rain at Auckland, winning 36-16. Earlier this year, in Round 3 at Canberra Stadium, the Raiders suffered a heart breaking, last gasp, one point loss. The Raiders have won just seven of 18 games played at Mt Smart Stadium, and seven of 19 games in Auckland. They have won nine of 21 games played in New Zealand.


2018 Round 3 Canberra Raiders V New Zealand Warriors


2017 Round 23 Canberra Raiders V New Zealand Warriors


2017 Round 7 Canberra Raiders V New Zealand Warriors


2016 Round 20 Canberra Raiders V New Zealand Warriors

In this week's "History Happens" we go back to Round 11 of 2003 when the Raiders took their home game against the Warriors to Wellington's "Cake Tin". It was an 18-10 victory for the "home" team, in a year when the Raiders were surprising everyone. Unfortunately, the Warriors would win the next two contests between the clubs in 2003, including the 17-16 finals victory over Canberra - which saw the Raiders eliminated from the play offs.


2003 Round 11 Canberra Raiders V New Zealand Warriors

Form: The Warriors have won three of their past five games, with recent losses to bottom eight teams, the Bulldogs and Titans. They recorded a 36-16 win over the Panthers in their last start, securing a top eight placing with the victory. The Raiders have a LLLWW record, winning back to back matches against a premiership contender, after a four game losing streak.

Betting: The Warriors are $1.53 favourites in the match, with the Raiders paying $2.50. The Raiders have 4.5 points start in the line betting.

Stat attack: It is a clash between eighth (Warriors) and 10th (Raiders) on the competition ladder. Canberra has a 10 and 13 record in 2018, while the Warriors are 14 and nine. Canberra has played 11 matches against top eight teams and won two. The Warriors have won six of 13 matches against top eight sides.

The Raiders are ranked first in the NRL for total points (547) and tries (91) scored in 2018. The Warriors rank 10th in the league for points (452) and equal ninth for tries (77) scored. The Raiders average around 24 points (four tries) per match, compared with 20 (three tries) for the Warriors. The Warriors, however, have the better defence. They rank sixth in the NRL in defence, conceding 19 points and three tries per match. The Raiders rank fourth worst in defence. They let in an an average of 23 points and four tries per match.

The Raiders remain the only team in the bottom eight with a positive points differential (+27), and still have a better points differential than three teams above them (Tigers -42, Warriors +21, Broncos +24).

The two teams both average 28 complete sets and eight incomplete sets - completing at 78 per cent. However, the Warriors average more runs (169-157), more running metres (1544m-1453m per match) and more kicking metres (446m-389m per match). The Warriors make nine errors per match, compared with 10 for the Warriors, while both average around nine penalties per match. The Raiders receive around 8.5 penalties per match, the Warriors eight. The Warriors make more offloads (13-9 per match on average), while the Raider make slightly more line breaks (5-4 per match).

The two team have a tackle efficiency rate of around 90 per cent (Warriors missing 36 of 364 tackles required on average per match, the Raiders missing 34 of 339).

Our tip: The Raiders have surprised both the Roosters and the Rabbitohs in the past two weeks, finally posting some victories over a top eight team. Sadly, it is too late, but Canberra has shown some pluck late in the season. They have completed well, relieving the pressure on their defence, and providing a good platform for their attack. They have learned to win despite missing some key players, like Jarrod Croker, Aidan Sezer, Joe Tapine an Jack Wighton, to injury and suspension.

The Warriors can play an expansive style, and that has proven to be troublesome for Canberra's defence in the past. Canberra won their last match against the Warriors in Auckland, but have lost three of the past five games in New Zealand's biggest city. It is going to be tough to make it three victories in a row against top eight opposition, but there could easily be an upset. This one will really depend on which Raiders and Warriors teams "turn up on the day". Both teams have been fairly inconsistent. I've got a gut feel, the Raiders can do it. Raiders by six.

What they're saying:

Junior Paulo: "We’ve had some good debutants this year, Jack Murchie got a chance, and especially Emre Guler, who has really established himself within the group. We know where he stands in the group and it’s definitely something to build towards for next year for the playing group."

Canberra Raiders

1. Brad Abbey
2. Nick Cotric
3. Michael Oldfield
4. Joey Leilua
5. Jordan Rapana
6. Blake Austin
7. Sam Williams
8. Dunamis Lui
9. Josh Hodgson
10. Shannon Boyd
11. Sia Soliola
12. Elliott Whitehead
13. Josh Papalii

14. Emre Guler
15. Junior Paulo
16. Siliva Havili
17. Luke Bateman

18. Jack Murchie
19. Liam Knight

New Zealand Warriors

1. Roger Tuivasa-Sheck (C)
2. David Fusitu'a
3. Peta Hiku
4. Solomone Kata
5. Ken Maumalo
6. Mason Lino
7. Shaun Johnson
16. Bunty Afoa
9. Issac Luke
10. Agnatius Paasi
11. Adam Blair
12. Tohu Harris
13. Simon Mannering

14. Jazz Tevaga
15. Isaiah Papali'i
17. Gerard Beale
18. Leivaha Pulu

20. Anthony Gelling
21. Chris Satae

Officials:

Referees: Matt Cecchin, Phil Henderson
Sideline Officials: Dave Munro, Tim Roby
Video Referees: Jared Maxwell, Luke Patten

Match Hashtags: #NRL #WeareRaiders #BleedGreen #NRLWarriorsRaiders

The Greenhouse Hashtags: #WearGreen2018 #FromAllAngles

Mounties teams: Click here

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Crusader
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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by Crusader » August 29, 2018, 3:37 pm

56th Min: TRY to Canberra Raiders Nick Cotric, Raiders 22-8 kick to come.

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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by -TW- » August 29, 2018, 6:14 pm

80th min FIELD GOAL WARRIORS Would you believe it it's happened again, Shaun Johnson has kicked 2 field goals in a minute to seal the game for the Warriors Warriors 26-25

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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by Crusader » August 29, 2018, 6:29 pm

-TW- wrote:
August 29, 2018, 6:14 pm
80th min FIELD GOAL WARRIORS Would you believe it it's happened again, Shaun Johnson has kicked 2 field goals in a minute to seal the game for the Warriors Warriors 26-25
80th Min: The ref was about to blow the whistle until the pocket ref has come in, seems like they checking for a block play, this could well be a penalty to the Raiders.

AND IT IS A PENALTY TO THE RAIDERS, Canberra take safe option and take the tap for the final play.

EXTRA TIME!!!!!

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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by Lucky » August 29, 2018, 9:27 pm

:lol:
Either way, we lose by 1.

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greeneyed
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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by greeneyed » August 30, 2018, 6:47 pm

Preview updated for squads, weather, betting: viewtopic.php?f=2&t=32981&p=1617024#p1617024
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cat
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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by cat » August 30, 2018, 7:59 pm

Weather has been great here, not cold at all.

Should be as great night!

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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by -PJ- » August 31, 2018, 7:12 am

Well..this is it.

Then we wait till March.. :thumbsdown
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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by reptar » August 31, 2018, 7:17 am

Oh wait, we have the early game? **** that!
Gina Riley: Oh, come on, John. That’s a bit old hat, the corrupt IOC delegate.
John Clarke: Old hat? Gina, in the scientific world when they see that something is happening again and again and again, repeatedly, they don’t call it old hat. They call it a pattern.

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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by Sid » August 31, 2018, 8:33 am

I want to see Raiders win but I also want to see Warriors finish higher on the ladder... :hmmm
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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by reptar » August 31, 2018, 9:41 am

Sid wrote:I want to see Raiders win but I also want to see Warriors finish higher on the ladder... :hmmm
I want to see it at a time that isn't 6pm
Gina Riley: Oh, come on, John. That’s a bit old hat, the corrupt IOC delegate.
John Clarke: Old hat? Gina, in the scientific world when they see that something is happening again and again and again, repeatedly, they don’t call it old hat. They call it a pattern.

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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by -PJ- » August 31, 2018, 9:47 am

reptar wrote:
August 31, 2018, 9:41 am
Sid wrote:I want to see Raiders win but I also want to see Warriors finish higher on the ladder... :hmmm
I want to see it at a time that isn't 6pm
I'm not a fan of 6pm either, it interupts my husband/wife time..
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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by -PJ- » August 31, 2018, 9:48 am

Oh..
We'll win this one.

#bleedgreen
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#emptythetank :shock:
20/7/18 Shark Park - a dark day in rugby league.

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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by Sid » August 31, 2018, 9:56 am

reptar wrote:
August 31, 2018, 9:41 am
Sid wrote:I want to see Raiders win but I also want to see Warriors finish higher on the ladder... :hmmm
I want to see it at a time that isn't 6pm
Don: We want more Friday games!
NRL: ~Sniggers~ Sure we'll give you more Friday games
NRL: ~Creates non-FTA Friday game in stupid timeslot~
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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by PerthRaider86 » August 31, 2018, 10:22 am

reptar wrote:
August 31, 2018, 9:41 am
Sid wrote:I want to see Raiders win but I also want to see Warriors finish higher on the ladder... :hmmm
I want to see it at a time that isn't 6pm
Its 4pm for me here and i finish work @ 5pm :( :( :(
Perth Based Raiders Fan

Cant wait for the Raiders to come back to WA !!!!!

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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by Sid » August 31, 2018, 10:23 am

I can't complain, I finish at 5 and the game starts at 5:30
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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by 1992 » August 31, 2018, 10:43 am

I have Fridays off. HAHAHAHA

Suck it.
WHAT A LONG STRANGE TRIP IT'S BEEN

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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by The Greenhouse » August 31, 2018, 4:25 pm

Welcome to our coverage of tonight's clash between the Canberra Raiders and New Zealand Warriors. Here are the final team line ups:

Canberra Raiders

1. Brad Abbey
2. Nick Cotric
3. Michael Oldfield
4. Joey Leilua
5. Jordan Rapana
6. Blake Austin
7. Sam Williams
8. Dunamis Lui
9. Josh Hodgson
10. Shannon Boyd
11. Sia Soliola
12. Elliott Whitehead
13. Josh Papalii

14. Emre Guler
15. Junior Paulo
16. Siliva Havili
17. Luke Bateman

New Zealand Warriors

1. Roger Tuivasa-Sheck (C)
2. David Fusitu'a
3. Peta Hiku
4. Solomone Kata
5. Ken Maumalo
6. Mason Lino
7. Shaun Johnson
16. Bunty Afoa
9. Issac Luke
10. Agnatius Paasi
11. Adam Blair
12. Tohu Harris
13. Simon Mannering

14. Jazz Tevaga
15. Isaiah Papali'i
17. Gerard Beale
18. Leivaha Pulu

20. Anthony Gelling
21. Chris Satae
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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by Rick » August 31, 2018, 4:57 pm

Finished 2hrs before kick off Image


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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by Sid » August 31, 2018, 4:58 pm

Rick wrote:
August 31, 2018, 4:57 pm
Finished 2hrs before kick off Image


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jerk
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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by bonehead » August 31, 2018, 5:43 pm

yeah walked out at 4. My offsider is on holidays and my boss had a stroke last weekend so hectic week be nice to see a win tonight

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1992
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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by 1992 » August 31, 2018, 6:00 pm

Will miss Austin.

Last game for 2018.

Let's do it boys!
WHAT A LONG STRANGE TRIP IT'S BEEN

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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by The Greenhouse » August 31, 2018, 6:01 pm

Canberra Raiders out on the field. It is a sell out at Mt Smart Stadium. Now the Warriors, led out by Simon Mannering.
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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by The Greenhouse » August 31, 2018, 6:02 pm

Warriors kick off, we are underway.
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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by The Greenhouse » August 31, 2018, 6:03 pm

The Warriors have used all their defensive energy in the first two tackles!
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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by Northern Raider » August 31, 2018, 6:04 pm

That first set I thought Hodgo was doing the YMCA at dummy half
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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by The Greenhouse » August 31, 2018, 6:05 pm

3rd min Nick Cotric can't handle the bomb to the try line and a team mate... can't quite see which one, think it is Oldfield, knocks on. Set ends with the Warriors offloading to Boyd! Now a penalty to the Raiders!
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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by The Greenhouse » August 31, 2018, 6:08 pm

6th min Sam Williams kicks early, rebounds, not played at. Limp end to the Raiders' set in the red zone.
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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by The Greenhouse » August 31, 2018, 6:09 pm

7th min Brad Abbey forced to bat a Tuivasa Sheck grubber dead. Line drop out forced on the Raiders.
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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by 1992 » August 31, 2018, 6:10 pm

Papa!
WHAT A LONG STRANGE TRIP IT'S BEEN

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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by The Greenhouse » August 31, 2018, 6:11 pm

9th min Warriors knock on in the red zone. Some great defence from Josh Papalii!
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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by -GD- » August 31, 2018, 6:12 pm

Papa wants everyones 3 points tonight!

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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by Johno » August 31, 2018, 6:13 pm

Is Paulo on there?

I reckon he gets some of Lui's hit ups
Last edited by Johno on August 31, 2018, 6:14 pm, edited 2 times in total.

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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by Begbie » August 31, 2018, 6:13 pm

Great kick Sammy!

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Re: 2018 Rd 25 V Warriors: Game Day

Post by 1992 » August 31, 2018, 6:13 pm

Williams best kick since 2015.
WHAT A LONG STRANGE TRIP IT'S BEEN

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