2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

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Who will win?

Raiders 13+
0
No votes
Raiders 1-12
5
36%
Draw
0
No votes
Roosters 1-12
0
No votes
Roosters 13+
9
64%
 
Total votes: 14

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greeneyed
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2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by greeneyed »

2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

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Canberra Raiders V Sydney Roosters
Saturday 29 May, 7:35pm
Central Coast Stadium
Gates open: 4:45pm
Women’s Premiership: Central Coast Roosters and Cronulla Sharks, 5:30pm
Tickets: Click here
TV coverage: Fox League Channel 502
Radio: ABC, Mix 106.3, 2CC
Weather: Shower or two. Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, more likely along the coastal fringe. Winds southwesterly 30 to 45 km/h. Chance of any rain: 50 per cent. Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm. Min 8 Max 16

The Canberra Raiders head to Gosford for a clash with their 2019 Grand Final rivals, the Sydney Roosters.

Last round: 2021 Round 11. Melbourne Storm 34 - Canberra Raiders 10. Another second half fade from the Raiders. Another sorry loss. The Raiders scored two exciting tries from kicks in the opening quarter hour, among the best of the year from the Green Machine. They then did not score another point. The Storm scored two tries in the final five minutes of the first half to take a 12-10 lead to the break - and went on to score a total of 34 unanswered points.



More on Round 11: As I saw it

Team news: Half George Williams has been released immediately by the Raiders after he declined to attend training and play this weekend. Sam Williams takes over at No. 7, with Jack Wighton coming back into the team at five eighth, after serving a suspension. Josh Hodgson also returns from suspension on the bench, with Tom Starling named at No. 9, despite concerns about an ankle injury. Jordan Rapana (hamstring) comes back into the team on the wing, replacing Semi Valemei (hamstring). Hudson Young has been dropped to the reserves list, with Sia Soliola coming in on the bench.

The Roosters will be without Victor Radley for this match, due to a five week suspension. He has been replaced by Isaac Liu. Angus Crichton was named in the team on Tuesday afternoon, but the judiciary suspended him for two weeks on Tuesday night. Siosiua Taukeiaho moves into the starting team at prop, while Daniel Suluka Fifita joins the bench. John Morris (back) returns at centre, with Joseph Suaalii dropping back to the reserves.

Late changes: The Raiders omitted Harry Rushton and Brad Schneider from their squad on Friday evening, with Hudson Young and Elijah Anderson remaining on the extended bench. The Roosters have replaced a suspended Angus Crichton with Nat Butcher in the second row, while Tuku Hau Tapuha moves onto the bench. Naufahu Whyte was cut from the Roosters squad, while Egan Butcher and Joseph Suaalii were retained on the reserves list.

History: The Raiders have won 30 of 67 matches against the Sydney Roosters - and five of the past 10 games. The Roosters won all three games played between the clubs in 2019, including the Grand Final. They won 30-24 at Lang Park during Magic Round, after going to a 30-6 lead early in the second half. The Raiders' subsequent comeback fell short. Then in Round 21, Canberra suffered a narrow, 22-18, loss to the Roosters at Canberra Stadium - with the Raiders' comeback again just falling short. The Raiders lost 14-8 in the Grand Final. It was a game marred by officiating controversy, with the Green Machine being the better team for much of the contest.

In Round 10 last year, the Raiders won the Grand Final re-match, 24-20, in a courageous performance at the Sydney Cricket Ground. However, the Roosters got the win (18-6) in Round 17 as Canberra Stadium. In Week 2 of the 2020 finals, the Green Machine denied the Roosters the opportunity to win a third premiership in a row. They defeated the Sydney outfit, 22-18, at the Sydney Cricket Ground - getting some small measure of revenge for the 2019 decider.


2020 Finals Week 2 Canberra Raiders V Sydney Roosters


2020 Round 17 Canberra Raiders V Sydney Roosters


2020 Round 10 Canberra Raiders V Sydney Roosters

The two teams have played once before at Central Coast Stadium, with the Roosters running out 30-16 winners back in 2005. Marshall Chalk, David Howell and Lincoln Withers scored tries that day for the Raiders, while Matt Gafa potted two goals. Former Raider Joel Monaghan and current Raider Sia Soliola both scored tries for the Roosters. The Roosters coach that day was Ricky Stuart - and former Raiders Brett Finch and Jamie Soward also played for the tricolours.

Form: Raiders: LLLWL
Roosters: WWLWL

The Roosters are coming off an unexpected 34-16 loss to the Brisbane Broncos at the Sydney Cricket Ground. They have also suffered a recent loss to the Eels in Round 9 (31-18). In fact, they haven't beaten any of the teams in the top four this year - also losing to the Rabbitohs (26-16) in Round 3 and the Storm (20-4) in Round 6. Their recent wins have come over the Cowboys (30-16), Knights (38-4) and Dragons (34-10).

The Raiders have had one win in their past seven games - a two point victory over the last placed Bulldogs. The Raiders have "lost the second half" in every one of those games, scoring just 20 points and conceding 133.

Betting: The Roosters are $1.25 favourites, while the Raiders are paying $4.00. The Raiders have a 11.5 points start in the line betting. The Raiders odds have lengthened since the market opened.

Stat attack: The Roosters rank third in the competition for tries scored, while the Raiders are now in the bottom four teams in attack. Canberra ranks 13th for tries scored and running metres gained. The Raiders and Roosters rank equal second for most errors - and only the Sea Eagles have a worse completion rate than the Raiders. The Roosters aren't far off in terms of completions, but they're a team that is prepared to take risks and that results in points. The Raiders are very conservative in attack, ranking second for one pass hit ups. It's clearly not helping their error count - and it is putting pressure on their defence.

2021 Season record: Raiders 4 and 7 (11th, -58)
Roosters 7 and 4 (5th, +119)

Attack: Raiders 19 points and 3 tries scored per match, ranked 13th on tries scored
Roosters 27 points and 5 tries scored per match, ranked 3rd on tries scored

Defence: Raiders 24 points and 4 tries conceded per match, ranked equal 7th on fewest tries conceded
Roosters 17 points and 3 tries conceded per match, ranked 4th on fewest tries conceded

Possession: Raiders 48 per cent, Roosters 49 per cent

Completion rate: Raiders 75 per cent, Roosters 77 per cent

Running: Raiders 1557 running metres from 177 runs (11 dummy half runs), 160 kick return metres, 562 post contact metres per match
Roosters 1655 running metres from 177 runs (7 dummy half runs), 181 kick return metres, 547 post contact metres per match

Tackle breaks: Raiders 29, Roosters 32 per match

Line breaks: Raiders 4, Roosters 6 per match

Try assists: Raiders 3, Roosters 4 per match

Line break assists: Raiders 3, Roosters 5 per match

Offloads: Raiders 9, Roosters 10 per match

Kicking: Raiders 559 kicking metres from 20 kicks per match
Roosters 484 kicking metres from 19 kicks per match

Tackling: Raiders 357 made, 30 missed, 18 ineffective per match, 88 per cent tackle efficiency
Roosters 352 made, 29 missed, 18 ineffective per match, 88 per cent tackle efficiency

Running metres conceded: Raiders 1520, Roosters 1382 metres per match

Errors: Raiders 12, Roosters 12 per match

Penalties conceded: Raiders 4, Roosters 5 per match

Penalties awarded: Raiders 4, Roosters 4 per match

Set re-starts conceded: Raiders 4, Roosters 4 per match

Set re-starts awarded: Raiders 5, Roosters 4 per match

Key match-ups:

Curtis Scott and Josh Morris: Curtis Scott produced one of his best performances in green last week, and was a critical player in setting up the Raiders' two tries. Roosters centre Josh Morris is now a 34 year old veteran, but he's not showing any signs of slowing down. Overall, Morris has the better numbers so far in 2021, but it should be a good contest between a young buck and an old buck.

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Jack Wighton and Lachlan Lam: Jack Wighton is back after a week's suspension. His form has been a bit down this year and he'll be wanting to impress the New South Wales selectors in this one. His opponent isn't Luke Keary, who is out for the season with an ACL injury. He lines up against Lachlan Lam - who has only five appearances in 2021. Jack Wighton easily takes this "skin".

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Sam Williams and Sam Walker: Sam Walker is the latest wunderkind, and he's living up to all the hype. The son of former Broncos player, Ben Walker, Sam is still just 18 years old. The Queensland junior representative - and Australian Schoolboy - spent his youth playing football in Ipswich, before being recruited by the Roosters in 2019. He didn't play a game in 2020, but he's sure made the rugby league world take notice in 2021. The Raiders will really have to run at the youngster and try and shut him down when he has the ball in hand. With the release of George Williams, Sam Williams will now line up against Walker. He played well last weekend - but in looking at the numbers, remember that was his first NRL appearance this year.

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Emre Guler and Jared Waerea-Hargreaves: This is another match up between a young buck and an old buck. Raiders prop Emre Guler started the year in NSW Cup, because he did not have a full preseason. He's taken a bit of time to build match fitness as a result. He has six NRL appearances so far. His Roosters counterpart, Jared Waerea-Hargreaves was born almost a decade before Guler - and the 32 year old is one of the toughest props in the competition. Overall, however, there's not much between the numbers for these two, on average. It should be a good battle.

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My tip: I seem to say this almost every week, but here it goes again. The Roosters are deserved, warm favourites. All the numbers point to a Roosters win. The form lines are not exactly great for the Roosters, but their form, overall, is certainly better than the Raiders. The Roosters have big injury problems, but they're dealing with those pretty well. I can only hope for a "little bit of history repeating". Last year the Raiders lost to the Storm, and then produced a backs to the wall victory against the Roosters at the SCG in the following week - despite a massive injury toll for the Green Machine. But head rules the heart in this tip: Roosters by 13+

What they're saying:

Canberra Raiders coach Ricky Stuart: "It’s definitely not that [injuries and suspensions]. I’m not going to look at that as an excuse. It’s not attitude. Next week. Another tough one next week."

Canberra Raiders

1. Caleb Aekins
2. Bailey Simonsson
3. Sebastian Kris
4. Curtis Scott
5. Jordan Rapana
6. Jack Wighton
7. Sam Williams
8. Dunamis Lui
9. Tom Starling
10. Emre Guler
11. Corey Harawira-Naera
12. Elliott Whitehead
13. Ryan Sutton

14. Josh Hodgson
15. Sia Soliola
16. Corey Horsburgh
17. Ryan James

18. Elijah Anderson
21. Hudson Young

Injury/Suspension

Joe Tapine, Knee, (Rd 14)
Semi Valemei, Hamstring (Rd 14)
Josh Papalii, Suspended (Rd 14)
Harley Smith-Shields, Biceps Tendon (Rd 20-22)
Jarrod Croker, Knee (Indefinite)
Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad, Neck (Season)

Sydney Roosters

1. James Tedesco
2. Daniel Tupou
3. Josh Morris
4. Joseph Manu
5. Matt Ikuvalu
6. Lachlan Lam
7. Sam Walker
8. Jared Waerea-Hargreaves
9. Ben Marschke
10. Siosiua Taukeiaho
12. Sitili Tupouniua
15. Nat Butcher
13. Isaac Liu

14. Adam Keighran
16. Daniel Suluka-Fifita
17. Fletcher Baker
18. Tuku Hau Tapuha

20. Egan Butcher
21. Joseph Suaalii

Injury/Suspension

Freddy Lussick, Arm (Rd 12-13)
Angus Crichton, Suspended (Rd 14)
Boyd Cordner, Concussion (Rd 14)
Sam Verrills, Eye (Rd 14-16)
Drew Hutchison, Ribs/punctured lung (Rd 16-17)
Victor Radley, Suspended (Rd 17)
Billy Smith, Shoulder (Mid-season)
Luke Keary, Knee (Season)
Brett Morris, Knee (Season)
Lindsay Collins, Knee (Season)

Officials

Referee: Grant Atkins
Touch judges: Liam Kennedy, Phil Henderson
Video referee: Ashley Klein

NRL teams: Click here
NSW Cup teams: Click here

Match Hashtags: #NRL #WeareRaiders #NRLRoostersRaiders

The Greenhouse Hashtags: #WearGreen2021 #FromAllAngles

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Plus follow us on Twitter: @TheGHRaiders and Instagram: @TheGHRaiders
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Billy Walker
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by Billy Walker »

Flame day!
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by Coastalraider »

First game of the year I’m getting to.

The podcast boys a representing the away bay, and likely Bay rd brewery pre game. Come say hi!
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by GreenMachine »

Sadderday is here...
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by Brew »

Heard somewhere that Sam Walker is being rested due to the ongoing shoulder injury, think it was on the NRL Physio Facebook page. Has it been confirmed?


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greeneyed
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by greeneyed »

Brew wrote: May 29, 2021, 10:25 am Heard somewhere that Sam Walker is being rested due to the ongoing shoulder injury, think it was on the NRL Physio Facebook page. Has it been confirmed?


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No, but there’s a DT story suggesting it may happen with Suaalii coming in at centre.

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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by irvste »

Hoping sammy plays well the new rules suit smaller players and he's a good organiser he might suit the team better than George regardless of everything else

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bonehead
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by bonehead »

Hooper, Girdler and Co had some good insights on the Raiders about half an hour ago on triple m.
Will be interesting how we go with Starling/Hodgson/Sammy W together

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greeneyed
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by greeneyed »

bonehead wrote: May 29, 2021, 1:00 pm Hooper, Girdler and Co had some good insights on the Raiders about half an hour ago on triple m.
Will be interesting how we go with Starling/Hodgson/Sammy W together

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What’d they say?
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by Raider47 »

Don't think I've been this less excited for a game since the dark days of 2013/14
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by bonehead »

greeneyed wrote:
bonehead wrote: May 29, 2021, 1:00 pm Hooper, Girdler and Co had some good insights on the Raiders about half an hour ago on triple m.
Will be interesting how we go with Starling/Hodgson/Sammy W together

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What’d they say?
just the specifics of George's game that stick wasn't happy with, a bit about how papa and hodgo were allowed to run/pick the forwards but early season form meant stick took that back and it shifted the dynamic

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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by Mickey_Raider »

It’s bloody cold I tell ya.

Almost feels like a Canberra game.
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by nachopants »

Lord have mercy.
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by Scared Hitless »

I really hope we can pull something out of the fire tonight. Or, at the very least, make a reasonable account of ourselves.

Interesting stat regarding the number of 13+ wins heading into round 12 over the past four years:

2018 - 35
2019 - 40
2020 - 41
2021 - 52 (plus 3 out of the 4 games played this round).

Not really sure what V'landys and Co.'s endgame is here. Rule changes must be having an impact. What further impact is expansion likely to have? It will just be more fodder for the top teams.
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by GreenMachine »

Scared Hitless wrote: May 29, 2021, 5:05 pm I really hope we can pull something out of the fire tonight. Or, at the very least, make a reasonable account of ourselves.

Interesting stat regarding the number of 13+ wins heading into round 12 over the past four years:

2018 - 35
2019 - 40
2020 - 41
2021 - 52 (plus 3 out of the 4 games played this round).

Not really sure what V'landys and Co.'s endgame is here. Rule changes must be having an impact. What further impact is expansion likely to have? It will just be more fodder for the top teams.
Moooar points, moooar entertainment for the brain dead because attention span can’t handle low scores....
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1992
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by 1992 »

Game day thread was more active in 2011, geez.

Anyway, we will probably lose.
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by Raiders666 »

Very confident the boys will win tonight...Go Team!
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by The Greenhouse »

Welcome to our coverage of tonights' NRL clash between the Canberra Raiders and Sydney Roosters at Central Coast Stadium. These are the final squads. Hodgson to start for the Raiders. Join us from 7:35pm for live scores and chat with your fellow Raiders fans as the game unfolds. Please add your own commentary!



Canberra Raiders

1. Caleb Aekins
2. Bailey Simonsson
3. Sebastian Kris
4. Curtis Scott
5. Jordan Rapana
6. Jack Wighton
7. Sam Williams
8. Dunamis Lui
14. Josh Hodgson
10. Emre Guler
11. Corey Harawira-Naera
12. Elliott Whitehead
13. Ryan Sutton
14. Josh Hodgson

9. Tom Starling
15. Sia Soliola
16. Corey Horsburgh
17. Ryan James

18. Elijah Anderson

Sydney Roosters

1. James Tedesco
2. Daniel Tupou
3. Josh Morris
21. Joseph Suaalii
5. Matt Ikuvalu
4. Joseph Manu
6. Lachlan Lam
8. Jared Waerea-Hargreaves
9. Ben Marschke
10. Siosiua Taukeiaho
12. Sitili Tupouniua
15. Nat Butcher
13. Isaac Liu

14. Adam Keighran
16. Daniel Suluka-Fifita
17. Fletcher Baker
20. Egan Butcher

7. Sam Walker
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by Dylan’s Raiders »

Either Hodgson or Wighton really needs to take control of this game. If they are ever going to play for 80 minutes it’s this game - probably their biggest rivalry
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by Lui_Bon »

yeah foxtel just confirmed Sam Walker not playing (unless they get the HIA bonus...)

Driving to Sydney this morning got overtaken by a red falcon with giant raiders sticker on the back window. Go team!
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by Johno »

would love to see this:

1. Caleb pull off at try saving tackle

2. Simmo to break a tackle or make a run of 50+ metres

3. CHN doesnt give away a dumb penalty.
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by Scared Hitless »

My Foxtel started playing up midway through the Eels/Rabbits game, so Raiders will almost certainly win.

Unless it comes good before kick off. Then we are done for.
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by 1992 »

Johno wrote: May 29, 2021, 7:10 pm would love to see this:

1. Caleb pull off at try saving tackle

2. Simmo to break a tackle or make a run of 50+ metres

3. CHN doesnt give away a dumb penalty.
How about a super model to service you at half time?
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by Northern Raider »

Johno wrote: May 29, 2021, 7:10 pm would love to see this:

1. Caleb pull off at try saving tackle

2. Simmo to break a tackle or make a run of 50+ metres

3. CHN doesnt give away a dumb penalty.
Is that a same game multi?
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by Northern Raider »

This game will tell us a lot about the mindset of the squad. Hodgo, Wighton and Rapana back we have a team good enough to win. Roosters with more players missing than us.
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by 1992 »

Our bench is much better but our team sucks for some reason.
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by The Greenhouse »

Teams are in final stages of preparation in the sheds. NRL Indigenous Round ceremony about to start. The Raiders are out in the tunnel, the Roosters are not. The two teams are supposed to walk out together. Now the Roosters arrive.

Very low crowd, there are a few bays full on the halfway on the eastern side.

Now the Welcome to Country.
Last edited by The Greenhouse on May 29, 2021, 7:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by bonehead »

no crowd, like 6k

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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by The Greenhouse »

The NRL Indigenous ceremony did not last long. The teams didn't seem to know it was over for some time.

Here we go! Raiders kick off!
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by Johno »

We look fired up
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by The Greenhouse »

Roosters decoys shouldn't be running the same line as the ball carrier. No penalty.

2nd min PENALTY RAIDERS Roosters inside the 10 metres from the kick.
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by Motiv8dan »

I cannot remember the last time I was less exited to watch the green machine, hopefully we can show something..
One day the Raiders and the Cats win the same year and make my head explode!!
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by The Greenhouse »

2nd min Curtis Scott clutching his neck, no penalty for a crusher.
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by The Greenhouse »

3rd min FORCED LINE DROP OUT conceded by the Roosters. Jack Wighton kick is a good one.
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Re: 2021 Rd 12 V Roosters: Game Day

Post by raiderskater »

Great kick from Jacky boy.
And to all the people who doubted me, hello to them as well. - Mark Webber, Raiders Ballboy and Unluckiest F1 Driver Ever

I'm attacking in the right way, instead of just...attacking in the general direction. - Max Aaron (also eerily apropos for the Green Machine)
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