2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

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Who will win?

Raiders 13+
5
56%
Raiders 1-12
2
22%
Draw
1
11%
Tigers 1-12
0
No votes
Tigers 13+
1
11%
 
Total votes: 9

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greeneyed
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2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by greeneyed » July 15, 2019, 11:11 pm

2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

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Canberra Raiders V Wests Tigers
Saturday 20 July 5:30pm
Canberra Stadium
Gates open: 3:00pm
Jersey Flegg: Canberra Raiders V Wests Tigers 3:15pm
Tickets: Click here
TV coverage: Fox League Channel 502
Radio: ABC, Mix 106.3
Weather: Early fog, frost. Mostly sunny. Areas of fog and frost in the morning. Sunny afternoon. Light winds becoming northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Chance of any rain: 5 per cent. Min -2 Max 14

Round 17 2019. Canberra Raiders 36 - St George Illawarra 14. It was a comprehensive victory for the Canberra Raiders at Wollongong. There was a short period in the second half when the Dragons played well and put on some points. But the thoughts of a comeback were quickly extinguished, when the Raiders steadied and went back to their game plan. Not even the loss of Nick Cotric, sent off for a dangerous tackle with 20 minutes left on the clock, disrupted the Green Machine. The 12 men finished the match off in a courageous fashion.



More on Round 17: As I saw it

The Raiders now return home to Canberra Stadium for a meeting with the Wests Tigers - a match that celebrates the upcoming 30th anniversary of the Green Machine's first premiership in 1989, a win over the Balmain Tigers.

Raiders centre Nick Cotric has been suspended for three weeks, for a dangerous throw in the Dragons match. He's replaced by Michael Oldfield. Josh Papalii returns to the starting side at prop, with Sia Soliola dropping back to the bench. For the Wests Tigers, Robert Jennings has been replaced on the wing by Paul Momirovski.

Late changes: The Canberra Raiders omitted Royce Hunt and Jack Murchie from their squad of 21 on Friday evening. The Wests Tigers have made a range of changes, with fullback Corey Thompson ruled out with an ankle injury. Moses Mbye shifts to full back and former Raider, Michael Chee Kam replaces him at centre. Luke Garner joins the bench, while Tommy Talau and Chris McQueen have travelled with the squad to Canberra as reserves. Oliver Clark

History: The Raiders have won 17 of 36 matches against the Wests Tigers, a 47 per cent win rate. Including games played against the Wests Magpies and Balmain Tigers prior to the joint venture, the Raiders have won 50 of 93 contests. But that 54 per cent win rate is significantly boosted by the 75 per cent win rate against the Magpies. The Tigers have always been a bit of a bogey team for the Raiders... excepting the 1989 Grand Final.

The Raiders have won seven of the past 10 matches between the clubs, and four of the last five. Canberra won 48-12 in Round 15 last year against the Tigers at Campbelltown. But the Tigers turned that result on its head, winning 22-20 at Canberra Stadium in Round 22. Just five rounds ago, the Raiders defeated the Tigers 28-0 at Western Sydney Stadium.

The Raiders have won nine of 19 games played between the clubs at Canberra Stadium. The Raiders have won three of the past five games at the venue against the Tigers - but the Tigers had a five game winning streak in Canberra between 2009 and 2012.


2019 Round 13 Canberra Raiders V Wests Tigers


2018 Round 22 Canberra Raiders V Wests Tigers


2018 Round 15 Canberra Raiders V Wests Tigers


2017 Round 3 Canberra Raiders V Wests Tigers

Form: Raiders: WWWLW
Tigers: LWWLL

The Tigers lost to the Parramatta Eels, 30-18 at Western Sydney Stadium in their last outing. They have had recent wins over the Rabbitohs (14-9) and Cowboys (27-26) - but have also lost to the Roosters (24-16). The Raiders have now won four of their past five games.

Betting: The Raiders are $1.44 favourites in this match, with the Tigers paying $2.75. The Tigers have a huge 7.5 points start in the line betting. The Tigers' odds have lengthened over the week.

Stat attack: It is a battle between third and 12th on the ladder. The Raiders have a better attacking record - and a much better defensive record than the Tigers.

The Raiders have now climbed to fifth in the attacking rankings - while the Tigers are in 11th. But remember... in absolute terms, there is not much difference between the two teams in points and tries scored per game. Look at the other attacking statistics... like metres gained, line breaks, tackle breaks, try assists, line break assists. The Tigers can be threatening with the ball in hand.

The Raiders have a much clearer advantage in defence. Only the Storm has a better defensive record than the Raiders in 2019, while the Tigers rank 13th. The Tigers have, on average, been forced to do more defensive work in matches and they give up more running metres. Surprisingly, however, they have a better effective tackle rate than the Raiders. Again, a reason for the Raiders to be beware.

Season record: Raiders 10 and 6 (3rd, +103)
Tigers 7 and 9 (11th, -60)

Home and away: Raiders 4 of 7 at home
Tigers 2 of 7 away

Against top eight opposition: Raiders have won 3 of 8
Tigers have won 3 of 11

Attack: Raiders 21 points and 3.5 tries scored per match, ranked 5th
Tigers 18 points and 3.1 tries scored per match, ranked 11th

Defence: Raiders 15 points and 2.6 tries conceded per match, ranked 2nd
Tigers 21 points and 3.4 tries conceded per match, ranked 13th

Completion rate: Raiders 79 per cent
Tigers 77 per cent

Running: Raiders 1558 running metres from 174 runs, 185 kick return metres, 441 post contact metres per match
Tigers 1562 running metres from 183 runs, 166 kick return metres, 477 post contact metres per match

Tackle breaks: Raiders 31, Tigers 30

Line breaks: Raiders 4, Tigers 3 per match

Try assists: Raiders 2, Tigers 2 per match

Line break assists: Raiders 2, Tigers 2 per match

Offloads: Raiders 8, Tigers 10 per match

Kicking: Raiders 594 kicking metres from 22 kicks per match
Tigers 589 kicking metres from 21 kicks per match

Tackling: Raiders 329 made, 30 missed, 13 ineffective per match
Tigers 357 made, 23 missed, 13 ineffective per match

Running metres conceded: Raiders 1369, Tigers 1453 metres per match

Errors: Raiders 10, Tigers 10 per match

Penalties: Raiders 7, Tigers 6 per match

Our tip: There is no easy match in the NRL. That is what the Raiders must tell themselves all week. They held the Tigers to nil in their last meeting. They had a great win against the Dragons last week. The Raiders are deserved favourites. But they cannot, they must not, be complacent this week. The Tigers can beat any of the top teams on their day.

Prior to the last meeting between the clubs, I mentioned how the Raiders had never beaten the Wests Tigers with both Benji Marshall and Robbie Farah in the team. Well now they have. I mentioned how Benji Marshall had only lost only one game from 19 against the Raiders, while Farrah has won 14 of 20. Add one win in favour of the Raiders. In any case, this is a game where these sorts of statistics should no longer count - if Canberra is to be a serious threat this year. It is simple. If the Raiders bring the attack and defence that they displayed against the Dragons they should win. Raiders by eight.

What they're saying:

Josh Papalii: "Origin is past me now. I've left that. The focus is fully on Raiders now and hopefully making the top four, finding some form and combinations before finals."

Canberra Raiders

1. Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad
2. Bailey Simonsson
3. Jarrod Croker (C)
4. Michael Oldfield
5. Jordan Rapana
6. Jack Wighton
7. Aidan Sezer
8. Josh Papalii
9. Josh Hodgson (C)
10. Dunamis Lui
11. John Bateman
12. Elliott Whitehead
13. Joe Tapine

14. Siliva Havili
15. Corey Horsburgh
16. Sia Soliola
17. Emre Guler

18. Sam Williams
21. JJ Collins

Injury/Suspension

Nick Cotric (Suspended) Round 21
Hudson Young (Suspended) Round 19
Ata Hingano (Thumb) Round 20-22
Joey Leilua (Neck) Indefinite
Luke Bateman (Knee) Indefinite
Brad Abbey (Knee) Season

Wests Tigers

3. Moses Mbye
2. Paul Momirovski
17. Michael Chee-Kam
4. Esan Marsters
5. David Nofoaluma
6. Benji Marshall
7. Luke Brooks
8. Josh Aloiai
9. Robbie Farah
10. Alex Twal
11. Ryan Matterson
12. Chris Lawrence
13. Matthew Eisenhuth

14. Jacob Liddle
15. Thomas Mikaele
16. Elijah Taylor
20. Luke Garner

18. Tommy Talau
19. Chris McQueen

Officials

Referees: Adam Gee, Chris Butler
Sideline Officials: Rickey McFarlane, Darian Furner
Video Referees: Jared Maxwell, Ben Lowe
Match Hashtags: #NRL #WeareRaiders #BleedGreen #NRLRaidersTigers

The Greenhouse Hashtags: #WearGreen2019 #FromAllAngles

Jersey Flegg team: Click here

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greeneyed
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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by greeneyed » July 16, 2019, 4:53 pm

Game Day preview updated for squads, team changes, weather, betting: viewtopic.php?f=2&t=33485&p=1675766#p1675766
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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by greeneyed » July 19, 2019, 5:50 pm

Match preview updated for squads, weather, betting: viewtopic.php?f=2&t=33485&p=1675766#p1675766

Royce Hunt and Jack Murchie omitted, while the Tigers have lost fullback Corey Thompson (ankle) and have omitted Oliver Clark.
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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by Dusty » July 19, 2019, 7:16 pm

Mbye to fullback, he hasn’t failed too well there this year


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2019: 1. Wighton 2. Cotric 3. Croker (c) 4 Leilua 5. Oldfield (Rapana) 6. Williams 7. Sezer 8. Sutton 9. Hodgson (c) 10. Papalii 11. Tapine 12. Whitehead 13. J.Bateman ----
14. Havili 15. Soliola 16. Guler 17. Lui

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1992
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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by 1992 » July 20, 2019, 5:12 am

Game day you Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez supporters!!!!

Papa FTS/Can 13+
WHAT A LONG STRANGE TRIP IT'S BEEN

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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by Ilanraiders » July 20, 2019, 6:05 am

Game day!! Go the Raiders
"Learn to appreciate what you have, before time makes you appreciate what you had"!! RAIDERSTILLIDIE!!

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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by -PJ- » July 20, 2019, 7:07 am

I like this timeslot..

Have a few beers all day, watch footy, fall asleep, dissapointed wife.. :P
3rd Battalion Royal Australian Regiment..Old Faithful
#emptythetank :shock:
I am not an alcoholic, I'm a binge drinker lacking opportunity..

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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by Billy Walker » July 20, 2019, 7:13 am

Today has a very 2 points feel about it! Let’s get em up!!

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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by -PJ- » July 20, 2019, 7:24 am

So..

1989 GF hero Steve Jackson will blow the horn today yes ?

On such a huge day for the club it's ironic that Raider #89 Steve Jackson is the ambassador today celebrating the 89 GF win.

I think we'll win 89-0
3rd Battalion Royal Australian Regiment..Old Faithful
#emptythetank :shock:
I am not an alcoholic, I'm a binge drinker lacking opportunity..

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2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by gangrenous » July 20, 2019, 7:33 am

It’s fitting, not ironic. But it is a fun fact
Last edited by gangrenous on July 20, 2019, 7:33 am, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by The Rickman » July 20, 2019, 7:45 am

It’s game day you absolute **** pack of **** **** ****

My first game of the year too!
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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by -PJ- » July 20, 2019, 8:02 am

gangrenous wrote:
July 20, 2019, 7:33 am
It’s fitting, not ironic. But it is a fun fact Image
Yeah fitting, I don't know where I plucked ironic from.

Big big night at Canberra Stadium tonight...

And the after party at Fergus's place will be a hoot, especially with Cueball in town...
3rd Battalion Royal Australian Regiment..Old Faithful
#emptythetank :shock:
I am not an alcoholic, I'm a binge drinker lacking opportunity..

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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by TongueFTW » July 20, 2019, 8:21 am

Mbye has never seemed comfortable under the high ball. Need to really target him. Would be good to see Sezer bombing for Jack to run through (a la Maloney/Tom T in Origin II).

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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by Kryptonite » July 20, 2019, 8:36 am

Game Day Gringo's!
Lets smashem like its 1989!

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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by GreenMachine » July 20, 2019, 8:42 am

I just hope Ricky has drilled the need for professionalism today.
These matches always worry me the most.

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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by Coastalraider » July 20, 2019, 9:14 am

I am in no way worried about this game. 2019 raiders have a different mentality. Home game, old boys day, hall of fame dinner last night, anniversary of 89, and it’s he tigers.

Time to move into second when the Cowboys beat the Bunnies.

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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by raiderskater » July 20, 2019, 9:44 am

Game day game day game day!

I can't decide whether I'd prefer us to run up a cricket score or whether I'd prefer us to hold them to 0 again. Decisions, decisions.
And to all the people who doubted me, hello to them as well. - Mark Webber, Raiders Ballboy and Unluckiest F1 Driver Ever

I'm attacking in the right way, instead of just...attacking in the general direction. - Max Aaron (also eerily apropos for the Green Machine)

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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by Coastalraider » July 20, 2019, 9:52 am

raiderskater wrote:
July 20, 2019, 9:44 am
Game day game day game day!

I can't decide whether I'd prefer us to run up a cricket score or whether I'd prefer us to hold them to 0 again. Decisions, decisions.
Can’t we do both?

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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by raiderskater » July 20, 2019, 10:02 am

Coastalraider wrote:
July 20, 2019, 9:52 am
raiderskater wrote:
July 20, 2019, 9:44 am
Game day game day game day!

I can't decide whether I'd prefer us to run up a cricket score or whether I'd prefer us to hold them to 0 again. Decisions, decisions.
Can’t we do both?
Well, I figure I'd best not be too greedy in my expectations, and then I can be happily surprised.
And to all the people who doubted me, hello to them as well. - Mark Webber, Raiders Ballboy and Unluckiest F1 Driver Ever

I'm attacking in the right way, instead of just...attacking in the general direction. - Max Aaron (also eerily apropos for the Green Machine)

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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by -TW- » July 20, 2019, 11:00 am

I'm prepared for extreme disappointment

I think it's just conditioned into me now

Sent from my CPH1831 using Tapatalk


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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by Azza » July 20, 2019, 11:08 am

-TW- wrote:
July 20, 2019, 11:00 am
I'm prepared for extreme disappointment

I think it's just conditioned into me now

Sent from my CPH1831 using Tapatalk
Agreed. Vital game - the Panthers will come hard next week and we want a buffer between us and them on the table.

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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by Begbie » July 20, 2019, 11:26 am

-PJ- wrote:
July 20, 2019, 7:24 am
So..

1989 GF hero Steve Jackson will blow the horn today yes ?

On such a huge day for the club it's ironic that Raider #89 Steve Jackson is the ambassador today celebrating the 89 GF win.

I think we'll win 89-0
Unfortunately Steve is unable to blow the horn, as his breathing is too powerful and the horn would shatter.

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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by Mickey_Raider » July 20, 2019, 12:24 pm

Can’t make the game as I’ll be in Sydney watching my boys Leeds United.

I’ll be watching from the pre match boozer hoping for a Yorkshire double.

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MON the LEEDS
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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by 1992 » July 20, 2019, 1:19 pm

Didn't we smash them 60:6 on Old Boys Day in 2016?
WHAT A LONG STRANGE TRIP IT'S BEEN

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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by Green thumbs » July 20, 2019, 2:05 pm

Pleased to report that the sun is shining - at last! - and there isn’t much wind. It’s going to be pretty freezing by 5:30 which should suit the Raiders. A perfect evening for footy. Go Raiders, we need a big win. My nerves cant cope with another cliff hanger. 💚💛💚💙💚

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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by Thomas Raider » July 20, 2019, 2:14 pm

Go the Raiders,we must beat these cats!!! Hey Green thumbs it couldn`t be any colder than WIN stadium last week :P

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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by raiderskater » July 20, 2019, 2:20 pm

1992 wrote:
July 20, 2019, 1:19 pm
Didn't we smash them 60:6 on Old Boys Day in 2016?
Yup. Shoulda been 66-6 but you know, the skipper had to make it fair for everyone.
And to all the people who doubted me, hello to them as well. - Mark Webber, Raiders Ballboy and Unluckiest F1 Driver Ever

I'm attacking in the right way, instead of just...attacking in the general direction. - Max Aaron (also eerily apropos for the Green Machine)

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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by 1992 » July 20, 2019, 3:57 pm

Where do I get that bronze button of the old logo that Hodgson has?
WHAT A LONG STRANGE TRIP IT'S BEEN

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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by The Greenhouse » July 20, 2019, 4:24 pm

Welcome to our coverage of today’s NRL clash between the Canberra Raiders and the Wests Tigers. Here are the final team line ups:

1. Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad
2. Bailey Simonsson
3. Jarrod Croker (C)
4. Michael Oldfield
5. Jordan Rapana
6. Jack Wighton
7. Aidan Sezer
16. Sia Soliola
9. Josh Hodgson (C)
10. Dunamis Lui
11. John Bateman
12. Elliott Whitehead
13. Joe Tapine

14. Siliva Havili
15. Corey Horsburgh
8. Josh Papalii
17. Emre Guler

Wests Tigers

3. Moses Mbye
2. Paul Momirovski
17. Michael Chee-Kam
4. Esan Marsters
5. David Nofoaluma
6. Benji Marshall
7. Luke Brooks
8. Josh Aloiai
9. Robbie Farah
10. Alex Twal
11. Ryan Matterson
12. Chris Lawrence
13. Matthew Eisenhuth

14. Jacob Liddle
15. Thomas Mikaele
16. Elijah Taylor
20. Luke Garner
Last edited by The Greenhouse on July 20, 2019, 4:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.
The Greenhouse score update service

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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by IBG » July 20, 2019, 4:29 pm

Papa starting from the bench. I guess Sticky is trying to manage his workload post Origin.

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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by 1992 » July 20, 2019, 4:33 pm

I have Papa FTS/Can 13+

I want my $450 back, Ricky!!!!
WHAT A LONG STRANGE TRIP IT'S BEEN

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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by Johno » July 20, 2019, 5:13 pm

Cory Thompson out, hes been playing really good too

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1992
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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by 1992 » July 20, 2019, 5:17 pm

Every game ww have lost has been by 12 or less....most by 6 or less.

We are so damn close!
WHAT A LONG STRANGE TRIP IT'S BEEN

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1992
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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by 1992 » July 20, 2019, 5:24 pm

Blocker cops a bunch of slack but he is okay. Good fun.
WHAT A LONG STRANGE TRIP IT'S BEEN

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Re: 2019 Rd 18 V Tigers: Game Day

Post by reptar » July 20, 2019, 5:25 pm

Frank says Raiders FTW!Image
Gina Riley: Oh, come on, John. That’s a bit old hat, the corrupt IOC delegate.
John Clarke: Old hat? Gina, in the scientific world when they see that something is happening again and again and again, repeatedly, they don’t call it old hat. They call it a pattern.

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