2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

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Who will win?

Raiders 13+
0
No votes
Raiders 1-12
7
78%
Draw
0
No votes
Eels 1-12
1
11%
Eels 13+
1
11%
 
Total votes: 9

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greeneyed
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2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by greeneyed »

2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

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Canberra Raiders V Parramatta Eels
Thursday 22 July, 7:50pm
Robina Stadium
Gates open: 6:50pm
Tickets: Click here
TV coverage: Nine, Fox League Channel 502
Radio: ABC, Mix 106.3, 2CC
Weather: Sunny. The chance of morning frost about the hinterland. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Chance of any rain: 10 per cent. Possible rainfall: 0 mm Min 6 Max 19

The Raiders have just a five day turnaround to their Round 19 clash with the Eels at Robina Stadium. It's a home game for the Eels - but with both teams temporarily located at the Gold Coast hub, the Raiders will feel just as much at home.

Last round: 2021 Round 18. Canberra Raiders 34 - Cronulla Sharks 18. It was a match that the Raiders needed to win, and they did. The 2021 team is still a work in progress, but the signs are positive. The star of the show was 19 year old, Xavier Savage. He scored his first NRL try in just his second official appearance - and created the opportunities for one or two more through his pure speed and his passing. He's an excitement machine and has added some much needed X factor to the backs. In the forwards, the likes of Corey Harawira-Naera generated good second phase play through offloads - and the attack looked much more dangerous as a result.



More on Round 18: As I saw it

Team news: Raiders young gun Xavier Savage has been ruled out for the season, with surgery required to correct an injured AC joint. Raiders five eighth Jack Wighton (ribs) and Elliott Whitehead (shoulder) have also been ruled out of this match. Jordan Rapana switches to fullback, with Harley Smith-Shields making his first appearance of 2021 on the wing. Matt Frawley replaces Jack Wighton at five eighth. Josh Papalii returns to his starting prop spot, with Sia Soliola dropping to the bench. Matt Timoko has been included on the bench, with Ryan James dropping to the reserves list.

The Eels welcome back Origin representative Junior Paulo after being rested last weekend. It has now been revealed Mitchell Moses suffered a broken bone in his back in Origin III - and he'll remain on the sidelines. Jake Arthur holds onto the No. 7 jersey. Will Penisini will make his NRL debut in place of Tom Opacic, while Blake Ferguson replaces Haze Dunster on the wing. Marata Niukore will go back to the bench, with Bryce Cartwright dropping to the reserves list.

Late changes: The Raiders omitted Siliva Havili and Trey Mooney from their squad on Wednesday evening, while the Eels cut Makahesi Makatoa and Joey Lussick.

History: Canberra has won 31 of 61 games against the Parramatta Eels. The Raiders have lost four times to the Eels in the past 10 matches - and the last three straight. The Raiders were on a five game winning streak against Parramatta, before falling to the Eels, 22-16, in Darwin in 2019. Last year the Eels led 24-12 with five minutes left, before the Raiders leveled the match, through two tries to Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad in the space of two minutes. Sadly, Clint Gutherson kicked a field goal in golden point, to secure a 25-24 win for the Eels at Western Sydney Stadium. Earlier this year at Canberra Stadium, the Raiders trailed by just two points at half time, but didn't score a point in the second half, crashing to a 35-10 defeat. These two teams have never met on the Gold Coast.


2021 Round 6: Canberra Raiders V Parramatta Eels


2020 Round 7: Canberra Raiders V Parramatta Eels

Form: Raiders: WLLWW
Eels: WWWLW

The Eels have suffered just one recent loss - to the Panthers, by a single point (13-12). They are coming off a 26-8 win over the Titans and have recent wins over the Knights (40-4), Tigers (40-12) and Bulldogs (36-10). All four of those wins have come against teams currently in the bottom eight. Their last victory against a top eight team was in Round 9 against the Roosters.

The Raiders have won three of their past five games - against the Broncos (38-16), Sea Eagles (30-16) and Sharks (34-18). But they've also recently produced disappointing losses to the Dragons (22-20) and Titans (44-6).

Betting: The Eels are $1.20 favourites, with the Raiders paying $4.50. The Raiders have a big 15.5 points start in the line betting. The Raiders' odds have lengthened over the week.

Stat attack: This is a battle between fourth (Eels) and ninth (Raiders) on the ladder. The Eels are a dangerous attacking outfit. They are ranked fifth for tries scored, but they are just one try behind the three teams above them in that department (the Panthers, Rabbitohs and Sea Eagles). Eels winger Maika Sivo sits in fourth place on the top try scorers list.

The Eels are amongst the top three teams for possession share and rank fourth for completions. They are first in the league for post contact metres, second for running metres and third for tackle breaks. Eels forward Isaiah Papali'i ranks third in the NRL for tackle breaks, while Sivo sits in fifth. Parramatta is first in the competition for offloads and second for try assists.

Those are some impressive numbers for the Eels and the Raiders' defence will need to be on song to contain the boys in blue and gold. The Raiders forwards will certainly have to get on top in the middle.

One chink in the armour for the Eels: they rank first for errors and third for handling errors. The Raiders will have to take every opportunity offered by that.

The Eels are no slouches in defence either. Only the Rabbitohs have missed fewer tackles than the Eels and they rank third for fewest tries conceded, behind the Panthers and the Storm.

Tough assignment for the Green Machine.

2021 Season record: Raiders 7 and 10 (9th, -74)
Eels 13 and 4 (4th, +219)

Attack: Raiders 20 points and 3 tries scored per match, ranked equal 10th on tries scored
Eels 28 points and 5 tries scored per match, ranked 5th on tries scored

Defence: Raiders 25 points and 4 tries conceded per match, ranked 9th on fewest tries conceded
Eels 15 points and 3 tries conceded per match, ranked 3rd on fewest tries conceded

Possession: Raiders 48 per cent, Eels 54 per cent

Completion rate: Raiders 78 per cent, Eels 79 per cent

Running: Raiders 1590 running metres from 177 runs (12 dummy half runs), 167 kick return metres, 537 post contact metres per match
Eels 1812 running metres from 196 runs (8 dummy half runs), 199 kick return metres, 616 post contact metres per match

Tackle breaks: Raiders 32, Eels 35 per match

Line breaks: Raiders 4, Eels 6 per match

Try assists: Raiders 3, Eels 4 per match

Line break assists: Raiders 3, Eels 4 per match

Offloads: Raiders 11, Eels 13 per match

Kicking: Raiders 525 kicking metres from 20 kicks per match
Eels 585 kicking metres from 22 kicks per match

Tackling: Raiders 350 made, 31 missed, 17 ineffective per match, 88 per cent tackle efficiency
Eels 337 made, 25 missed, 16 ineffective per match, 91 per cent tackle efficiency

Running metres conceded: Raiders 1454, Eels 1368 metres per match

Errors: Raiders 11, Eels 12 per match

Handling errors: Raiders 8 Eels 10

Penalties conceded: Raiders 5, Eels 4 per match

Penalties awarded: Raiders 5, Eels 4 per match

Set re-starts conceded: Raiders 4, Eels 4 per match

Set re-starts awarded: Raiders 5, Eels 5 per match

Key match-ups:

Josh Papalii and Junior Paulo: Former team mates, Papalii and Paulo are key forward leaders for their respective packs. Paulo played 55 games for the Raiders between 2016 and 2018, before heading back to Parramatta in 2019. He's been great for the Eels this year. But his numbers overall don't quite stack up against Papalii's. While Big Papa has not had quite the season he had in 2020, when he was Dally M Prop of the Year, he's now pretty much back to his best. Big Papa wins this match-up for mine.

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Josh Hodgson and Reed Mahoney: Josh Hodgson has had an up and down season, and ended up being dropped to the bench. But that only lasted for one match. The Raiders have found a good formula in the past couple of weeks, with Hodgson starting and Tom Starling taking over at dummy half at around 25th minute. Hodgson then becomes a ball playing back rower. In my view, Reed Mahoney has been one of the best hookers in the competition this year. He wins this "skin" pretty clearly - though he will probably be facing Starling for a large part of the match. That match-up might be a bit closer on the night.

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Corey Harawira-Naera and Ryan Matterson: Second rower Corey Harawira-Naera produced an outstanding game against the Sharks last weekend, probably his best game in green. It was reminiscent of his best form at the Panthers. Ryan Matterson was also outstanding in the Eels' win over the Titans last Friday night. Overall, there's not much difference in the numbers for these two. This match-up is too close to call. Should be a great contest.

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My tip: The Eels are hot favourites and all the numbers point to a big win for Parramatta. The Eels will be affected by the loss of Mitchell Moses. There have been positive signs for the Raiders in recent weeks. The attack is starting to click, with the Raiders aiming to create second phase play through offloads. Starting the game with Josh Hodgson at hooker, before Tom Starling takes over at dummy half at around the 20-25 minute mark is working. Some of the forwards, like Josh Papalii, Joe Tapine and Corey Harawira-Naera, are getting into their stride. But the Raiders have some serious injury problems of their own. If they can win, their chances of finishing in the top eight are significantly improved. But I have to tip with the head. Eels by 12.

What they're saying:

Corey Harawira-Naera: "The potential of losing that game meant the Sharks would've jumped four points in front of us, which would've made it a lot harder to get in. We've given ourselves a chance, but we know we've got to take it one week at a time… now obviously leads into Parramatta on Thursday. But I think Stick and everyone else was quite happy with the effort we put in on Saturday. It doesn't really mean anything if we don't back it up this Thursday."

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Canberra Raiders

1. Jordan Rapana
2. Harley Smith-Shields
3. Jarrod Croker
4. Sebastian Kris
5. Semi Valemei
6. Matt Frawley
7. Sam Williams
8 Josh Papalii
9. Josh Hodgson
10. Emre Guler
11. Corey Harawira-Naera
12. Hudson Young
13. Ryan Sutton

14. Tom Starling
15. Matt Timoko
16. Sia Soliola
17. Joseph Tapine

18. Caleb Aekins
19. Ryan James

Injury/Suspension

Jack Wighton, Ribs (Rd 20-21)
Elliott Whitehead, Shoulder (Rd 20-21)
Corey Horsburgh, Wrist (Rd 20-21)
Dunamis Lui, Calf (Rd 20-21)
Bailey Simonson, Toe (Rd 21-23)
Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad, Neck (Season)
Xavier Savage, Shoulder (Season)

Parramatta Eels

1. Clinton Gutherson
2. Maika Sivo
3. Will Penisini
4. Waqa Blake
5. Blake Ferguson
6. Dylan Brown
7. Jake Arthur
8. Reagan Campbell-Gillard
9. Reed Mahoney
10. Junior Paulo
11. Isaiah Papali'i
12. Ryan Matterson
13. Nathan Brown

14. Marata Niukore
15. Shaun Lane
16. Oregon Kaufusi
17. Will Smith

18. Haze Dunster
19. Bryce Cartwright

Injury/Suspension

Tom Opacic, TBA
Mitchell Moses, Back (Indefinite)
Wiremu Greig, Ankle (Indefinite)
Nathaniel Roache, Knee (Indefinite)

Officials

Referee: Adam Gee
Touch judges: Peter Gough, Phil Henderson
Video referee: Henry Perenara
NRL teams: Click here

Match Hashtags: #NRL #WeareRaiders #NRLEelsRaiders
The Greenhouse Hashtags: #WearGreen2021 #FromAllAngles

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Plus follow us on Twitter: @TheGHRaiders and Instagram: @TheGHRaiders
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greeneyed
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by greeneyed »

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1992
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by 1992 »

Time for a Frawley masterclass.
WHAT A LONG STRANGE TRIP IT'S BEEN
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by -PJ- »

This QLD bubble is a blessing.

We’ll fight again tonight, will it be enough ?

Must bring the energy !!!
3rd Battalion Royal Australian Regiment..Old Faithful
#emptythetank :shock:
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2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by luffraider »

Anyone having issues getting tickets to game today?

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Northern Raider
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by Northern Raider »

luffraider wrote: July 22, 2021, 8:10 am Anyone having issues getting tickets to game today?

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No, just you. They obviously don't want you there.
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greeneyed
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by greeneyed »

luffraider wrote: July 22, 2021, 8:10 am Anyone having issues getting tickets to game today?

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This is the updated link: https://premier.ticketek.com.au/events/ ... 14/tickets
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by luffraider »

Northern Raider wrote:
luffraider wrote: July 22, 2021, 8:10 am Anyone having issues getting tickets to game today?

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No, just you. They obviously don't want you there.
Haha hope not.

Been to 3 games this year and raiders have won them all.

Hoping for a 4th
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Northern Raider
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by Northern Raider »

luffraider wrote: July 22, 2021, 9:57 am
Northern Raider wrote:
luffraider wrote: July 22, 2021, 8:10 am Anyone having issues getting tickets to game today?

Image
No, just you. They obviously don't want you there.
Haha hope not.

Been to 3 games this year and raiders have won them all.

Hoping for a 4th
Yeah, I'm 3-0 so far too. Admittedly took the low hanging fruit. Dogs, Broncos and Sharks games. :lol:

Tickets via Ticketek link is all good.

https://premier.ticketek.com.au/shows/s ... EELSRAID21
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Dimes
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by Dimes »

1992 wrote: July 22, 2021, 1:33 am Time for a Frawley masterclass.
Indeed.

A Parra goal line drop out masterclass.
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by radicalraider »

Oh what a eeling !
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by Azza »

Eels by 73.
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by raiderskater »

I'm feeling good and excited about our back line tonight. The young guns will be eager to show they can do this and Raps and Croker are exactly the right amount of experience and talent to support them and feed off that eagerness themselves.
And to all the people who doubted me, hello to them as well. - Mark Webber, Raiders Ballboy and Unluckiest F1 Driver Ever

I'm attacking in the right way, instead of just...attacking in the general direction. - Max Aaron (also eerily apropos for the Green Machine)
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BJ
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by BJ »

I’m pretty much resigned to a loss. We will have to score a lot of points to jag a win.
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by Kryptonite »

Game Day
We started our season stink with this mob, now let’s end it with this mob, 3 in a row coming up!
Go the mighty Green Machine!
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by luffraider »

Northern Raider wrote:
luffraider wrote: July 22, 2021, 9:57 am
Northern Raider wrote:
luffraider wrote: July 22, 2021, 8:10 am Anyone having issues getting tickets to game today?

Image
No, just you. They obviously don't want you there.
Haha hope not.

Been to 3 games this year and raiders have won them all.

Hoping for a 4th
Yeah, I'm 3-0 so far too. Admittedly took the low hanging fruit. Dogs, Broncos and Sharks games. :lol:

Tickets via Ticketek link is all good.

https://premier.ticketek.com.au/shows/s ... EELSRAID21
We have been at the same games then haha
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by Northern Raider »

I was lucky with the Bronocs game as I was tossing up between that one and the Titans game. :doubt:
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by Raiders666 »

No Gutho certainly helps us
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by 1992 »

Kryptonite wrote: July 22, 2021, 12:26 pm Game Day
We started our season stink with this mob, now let’s end it with this mob, 3 in a row coming up!
Go the mighty Green Machine!
Our stink started in round five against the Riff.
WHAT A LONG STRANGE TRIP IT'S BEEN
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by kona_dream »

Raiders666 wrote: July 22, 2021, 2:47 pm No Gutho certainly helps us
Gutho is out?
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by greeneyed »

kona_dream wrote: July 22, 2021, 4:52 pm
Raiders666 wrote: July 22, 2021, 2:47 pm No Gutho certainly helps us
Gutho is out?
Might mean Moses. Haven't heard anything about Gutherson being out.
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by Question »

^^^Sniper.
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by Raiders666 »

greeneyed wrote: July 22, 2021, 5:21 pm
kona_dream wrote: July 22, 2021, 4:52 pm
Raiders666 wrote: July 22, 2021, 2:47 pm No Gutho certainly helps us
Gutho is out?
Might mean Moses. Haven't heard anything about Gutherson being out.
It's been reported today a few times he is in some doubt with a rib injury..May still play
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by greeneyed »

Raiders666 wrote: July 22, 2021, 5:41 pm
greeneyed wrote: July 22, 2021, 5:21 pm
kona_dream wrote: July 22, 2021, 4:52 pm
Raiders666 wrote: July 22, 2021, 2:47 pm No Gutho certainly helps us
Gutho is out?
Might mean Moses. Haven't heard anything about Gutherson being out.
It's been reported today a few times he is in some doubt with a rib injury..May still play
OK, I now see there's some reference to it in The Daily Telegraph... only one I can find:

Late mail: Eels look set to be 1-17 with Clint Gutherson in some doubt due to rib injury, with Haze Dunster on standby should he be late withdrawal.

Read more: https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/sport ... f04ca54753
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by Thomas Raider »

Up the Milk,beer time in lock down :cmon
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by The Greenhouse »

Welcome to our coverage of tonight's NRL clash between the Canberra Raiders and Parramatta Eels at Robina Stadium. Kick off is at 7:50pm... join us for live scores and please add your own commentary as the game unfolds. Joe Tapine to start for the Raiders, with Josh Papalii dropping back to the bench. Here are the final teams:

Canberra Raiders

1. Jordan Rapana
2. Harley Smith-Shields
3. Jarrod Croker
4. Sebastian Kris
5. Semi Valemei
6. Matt Frawley
7. Sam Williams
10. Emre Guler
9. Josh Hodgson
17. Joseph Tapine
11. Corey Harawira-Naera
12. Hudson Young
13. Ryan Sutton

8 Josh Papalii
14. Tom Starling
15. Matt Timoko
16. Sia Soliola

18. Caleb Aekins

Parramatta Eels

1. Clinton Gutherson
2. Maika Sivo
3. Will Penisini
4. Waqa Blake
5. Blake Ferguson
6. Dylan Brown
7. Jake Arthur
8. Reagan Campbell-Gillard
9. Reed Mahoney
10. Junior Paulo
11. Isaiah Papali'i
12. Ryan Matterson
13. Nathan Brown

14. Marata Niukore
15. Shaun Lane
16. Oregon Kaufusi
17. Will Smith

19. Bryce Cartwright
The Greenhouse score update service
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by radicalraider »

Papalii bench
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by Westsydneyraider »

Tapine starting for papa
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by -PJ- »

Haze Dunster !!

What a name.
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#emptythetank :shock:
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by Motiv8dan »

Is it just me or do we look stronger without our Jacky boy?

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One day the Raiders and the Cats win the same year and make my head explode!!
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by Botman »

Motiv8dan wrote: July 22, 2021, 6:57 pm Is it just me or do we look stronger without our Jacky boy?

Sent from my SM-N981B using Tapatalk
I dont think it's just you.
But it should be.
CREATE PROCEDURE BotMan_Post AS
SELECT * FROM Previous_Post
EXEC quote_post
WHERE UserName = 'Aknalkfgnaa' OR 'Yeah Raiders' OR 'Billy B'
EXEC RAND(good_grief; cheak_notes; uh82cit;)

GO;
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by Billy Walker »

-PJ- wrote: July 22, 2021, 6:54 pm Haze Dunster !!

What a name.
A hazey dunster fire!! 🔥 :roflmao
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by Motiv8dan »

Usually I get a feeling about how we are going to play, but this Jekyll and Hyde team leave me with nothing, who knows how they are going to play.

All I know by that line up, we better get plenty of repeat sets....

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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by Ultima »

Watching the Rapana interview. Holding on to the ball and finishing in the corners seems to be our entire game plan tonight... Eels by 20 :(
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Re: 2021 Rd 19 V Eels: Game Day

Post by Billy Walker »

Braith and Brandy saying CNK to centres next year with Savage the man in 1. Cronk suggesting we need to go to the market for a ball playing fullback.

They had that discussion without as much name calling and irrational passion that when it’s replicated on the GH - it was disappointing :lol:
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