Horse Racing

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Northern Raider
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Re: Horse Racing

Post by Northern Raider »

It did deserve a much tougher suspension. Jockeys get 6 weeks for reckless riding when it causes a severe check. This caused a horse to fall and loses it's life and almost that of the jockey. About as serious a case as you would see.

Weak penalty.
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julian87
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Re: Horse Racing

Post by julian87 »

Yep I agree big time with the both of you.
well, I guess you could say that I'm buy curious.
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RTW
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Re: Horse Racing

Post by RTW »

Wet tracks tomorrow, anyone got any mudlarks in mind?


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yeh raiders
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Re: Horse Racing

Post by yeh raiders »

RTW wrote: August 7, 2020, 10:30 pm Wet tracks tomorrow, anyone got any mudlarks in mind?


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I sucked the Saturday prior so I purposely stayed out of it this week. Heavy tracks are not kind to me.
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RTW
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Re: Horse Racing

Post by RTW »

Anyone got any good mail for today’s racing?


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Northern Raider
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Re: Horse Racing

Post by Northern Raider »

Don't bother backing Munce's horses ;)
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Northern Raider
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Re: Horse Racing

Post by Northern Raider »

Looking at Randwick with some big races. Flight Stakes I like Dame Giselle. Don't see much tempo in the race and she has a better sprint than Hungry Heart.

Premiere Stakes I think Nature Strip is unders at 1.80 which makes Classique Legend good value at 3.00. Libertini a knock out chance if you want somethin at better odds.
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Northern Raider
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Re: Horse Racing

Post by Northern Raider »

Epsom is a raffle (as usual). Star of the Seas the class horse so should give you a sight. Races screams upset so wouldn't be putting the house on it.

Metropolitan I think Mirage Dancer is a great each way bet at 12.00
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yeh raiders
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Re: Horse Racing

Post by yeh raiders »

Is anything going to challenge Nature Strip on speed? He tends to just bounce back from a poor run.
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yeh raiders
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Re: Horse Racing

Post by yeh raiders »

I think Eduardo is a really handy pick for the MiRunners slot in the Everest.

Hasn’t won a big race yet, but he’s super consistent, lightly raced and handles soft/heavy ground.
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yeh raiders
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Re: Horse Racing

Post by yeh raiders »

Wowee... Nature Strip failure, Classique with a poor ride and Libertini explodes.
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Northern Raider
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Re: Horse Racing

Post by Northern Raider »

Nature Strip not come back as well IMO.

Backed the Epsom winner but Yulong Prince the place would have been a better result. Just nutted out.
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yeh raiders
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Re: Horse Racing

Post by yeh raiders »

NR, you sir are a genius.

Thank you :clap:
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Northern Raider
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Re: Horse Racing

Post by Northern Raider »

Mirage Dancer :)
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Northern Raider
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Re: Horse Racing

Post by Northern Raider »

Stupid me left Libertini out of Quaddie :(
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Begbie
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Re: Horse Racing

Post by Begbie »

Thank you again NR! Only had 10 each way but big odds! You have such a good tipping record on this site.
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yeh raiders
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Re: Horse Racing

Post by yeh raiders »

Any hot tips for today NR?

Alligator Blood too short IMO. Unless Vandyke is talking him down on purpose again...
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yeh raiders
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Re: Horse Racing

Post by yeh raiders »

Massive weekend of racing coming up.

Who are people backing?
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yeh raiders
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Re: Horse Racing

Post by yeh raiders »

My thoughts...

Caulfield Cup - I think Anthony Van Dyk is the best in the field. But he is weighted heavily.
Hard not to love a horse like Verry Elleegant.
Chapada a decent roughie at odds.

The Everest - Gytrash, Classique Legend have arguably produced the two best performances this prep. On top of the ground, it’s hard to tip around them. Trekking at reasonable odds could fill a place.

The Kosciusko - Its Me enormously supported but in terms of betting, I’m liking Redouble at good odds. His form stacks up, he will enjoy firm ground. He was transferred to a country stable for this event and there seems plenty to like given he was $31 earlier in the week (I took $34 power played) and he’s now into $17. Front Page’s form reads well too.
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Northern Raider
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Re: Horse Racing

Post by Northern Raider »

Caulfield Cup lacking in depth this year. Quite a few simply making up numbers.

Agree about AVD and the weights. He's only won 1 X Group 1 race. No doubt he's cooped a decent penalty for his last start G2 win, where he beat the world's best stayer in Stradivarius. I took early odds on him to win the cups double at 200-1 so I don't really need to back him at $5 here.

Verry Elleegant has been thrown in by comparison. She's a 5 X G1 winner and only been given 55kg. Taking into account she 2kg mares allowance she's been rated equal of Vow and Declare who's only G1 win was last year's Melbourne Cup. She prefers the sting out of the ground so the showers forecast won't hurt her. Also unbeaten in 2 goes at 2400m. Both at G1 level and a collective winning margin of 7 lengths. Hard to go past her.

Master of Wine gets a nice weight turnaround on VE from last start beaten less than a length. Whether he's good enough to take advantage of it I'm not so sure.

Dalasan is the best roughie IMO. Nice weight drop and will appreciate the rise to 2400. Think they've ridden him a bit too close the last couple over shorter trips. Would prefer to see them settle him off the pace a bit more like he did as a 3yo.

Keep a watch on Dashing Willoughby. Better suited over 3200 so should improve on whatever he does here. Nice form in 2nd tier grade in UK and those often perform well here.
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Northern Raider
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Re: Horse Racing

Post by Northern Raider »

Hope you all took the tip on Verry Elleegant
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yeh raiders
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Re: Horse Racing

Post by yeh raiders »

Haha I got her at $2 the place. Magnificent mare.

Redouble oh so close, that would’ve been very sweet but I had him each way ($7 place).

Classique mauled them, had the luck to match the talent. Left them eating dust. Very impressive.
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